Probability Of Rare Events

What the picker changes

Top topics digest — the cards score the selected period against the prior 4 weeks.
12-week heatmap & outlet matrix — show the 12 weeks ending at the selected week (they slide back with the picker, they aren’t a fixed snapshot).
Per-topic volume / alias drift — same 12-week trailing window, anchored on the selected period.
Coverage gap quadrant — scores the selected period against the 12 weeks before it (not including it).
Anomaly cards — only show alerts the detector fired during the selected period. Quiet weeks legitimately show none.

What stays as-is

Outlet orientation strip / lean colours — context-only, drawn from the last 12 weeks of activity regardless.
Co-occurrence graph — recent-activity anchored, not picker-driven.
Source & topic profiles — all-time data for the topic; the picker doesn’t affect them.

Rolling 7 days is a sliding live window for “current vibes”; switch to Weekly to compare specific weeks side-by-side.

live window

Platform mix