A data scientist uses a million-simulation model to analyze the 2026 World Cup's new 48-team format, showing reduced chances for top nations to reach the final and highlighting shifts in global participation and competitiveness.
Stacked weekly counts; colour by lean. “n/a” covers government and iwi-Māori sources where lean isn't applicable.
How this topic has been named, week by week. A new alias winning out is usually a framing shift.
Up to 12 framings spread across orientations. Each framing is a short phrase the topic extractor generated to characterise the piece's stance — not a quote from the source. Click through to read the original.
minimal odds reflect underestimation in global rankings
I built a maths model to simulate the World Cup a million times. Find out your team’s chancesSpotted something wrong on this page? Report a correction.