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Topic

Media Polling Accuracy

40 items · 13 aliases · peaked week of 3 May 2026 · first seen 28 Apr 2026

A political commentary piece analyzing key events and controversies in New Zealand’s current political landscape, including policy consultations, media accuracy, leadership dynamics, and cultural sensitivity issues.

Stance breakdown Methodology →

How the framings classify across 3 articles. Each framing is labelled by a small AI stance classifier; see the methodology page for details.

100%
Critical 3

Volume by source orientation Methodology →

Stacked weekly counts; colour by lean. “n/a” covers government and iwi-Māori sources where lean isn't applicable.

Alias drift

How this topic has been named, week by week. A new alias winning out is usually a framing shift.

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In the press Methodology →

How the news corpus has covered this same topic over the last 12 weeks. 1 article from RNZ, Stuff, NZ Herald, ODT, 1News, Newsroom and The Spinoff. Click through to the press view for the full panel.

12-week press volume 1 article
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Heard on radio

Verbatim segments from politicians speaking on podcasts and radio shows about this topic. Sourced via the voice-reference library — each speaker has been confirmed manually from their voice clip. Click play to stream the original audio from the publisher, pre-seeked to the moment the quote starts.

  • That's exactly what the point that I was going to make. I mean, it's so ridiculous with opinion polling at the moment. We talk about 0.2%. I mean, this every poll has a statistical margin of error of 3% plus. I think this one's got 3.1%. And we've got them going up 2%. Well, 0.2, I'm sorry. They should be cracking the champagne corks. But basically, what it says is what the poll poll uh said the other day is that the uh three coalition partners that are currently in government, they'll be returned to office, even though it won't be as comfortable as the last um uh taxpayer union curior poll uh would have us believe that was the one last month. We're going to get them now monthly, obviously. We've been getting them monthly for ages. Well, yes, I know. I know that it's election year, you know. But um, yeah, Labour would uh under the current this current setup get 41 seats, so it would still be the biggest um party in Parliament, uh national, even though it went up 0.02 uh 0.2%, uh it would get 39 seats. New Zealand first will get 15. Now that sounds a lot for them, but don't forget first MMP election in 1996, they got 17 seats. So that's not the highest they've been. The Greens, please, on 12%, honestly. Um they've taken a bit of a uh bounce back, uh bounce, I mean backwards, not not forwards. Quite drop. Though eight, uh they'd get eight seats. And to party Māori, it's a load of rubbish, of course, because uh these polls always take it that uh the Māori Party are going to win five seats.
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Sample framings

Up to 12 framings spread across orientations. Each framing is a short phrase the topic extractor generated to characterise the piece's stance — not a quote from the source. Click through to read the original.

point-of-order Centre-right

undermined by editorial lapses and context errors

RIP BSA
8 May
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How the public reacted

Social-media signal on the same topic, drawn from the social lens. Engagement is likes + 2×shares + 3×replies, the same weighting used across the digest cards. View on /social →

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