A reflective commentary on recent political developments in New Zealand, including concerns over the Luxon government's rollout, the English language bill, and the perceived underestimation of cultural tensions.
Stacked weekly counts; colour by lean. “n/a” covers government and iwi-Māori sources where lean isn't applicable.
How this topic has been named, week by week. A new alias winning out is usually a framing shift.
Verbatim segments from politicians speaking on podcasts and radio shows about this topic. Sourced via the voice-reference library — each speaker has been confirmed manually from their voice clip. Click play to stream the original audio from the publisher, pre-seeked to the moment the quote starts.
So here's an irony for you this Friday morning. Could it be that the Prime Minister. The one so disliked by the media is actually so good at his job, his numbers are a result of his excellence. See, the pollster David Farrah has broken down this week's poll, the Courier poll. He's broken down the New Zealand First poll numbers. Now, small warning, the New Zealand First poll numbers are not accurate, in my humble opinion, given the New Zealand First have gone up 4%. That's a 30-ish percent swing in their favour. Parties, as I said this week, don't go up or down at that rate ever. But it is true to say New Zealand First has been this year on a bit of a roll. Multiple polls show growth and support. Farah's breakdown showed the majority of that new support is coming from national. Why? Well, New Zealand First for some will be what national aren't. Straight up and down. Hard ass. No nonsense. Peters and Jones tell it like it is. It's a divided world and there's an appeal to it. Good piece yesterday, by the way, in the Sydney Morning Herald reporting the same thing. Major parties have basically cocked it up for decades. Pauline Hanson comes along, it's her time to shine. Back here, what has Luxon got to do with this? Well, support the government or not, he's held together a very successful co-lab. Three parties, first time ever in an official arrangement. They work together, they get along together, and that has brought faith in the idea that you can have MMP and small parties can not only survive but actually prosper. All three parties will go to the election this year in good standing. You've not been able to say that. In the MMP era before, from the Alliance to the Maori Party to the Greens to New Zealand First themselves, all minor parties have previously suffered, if not vanished, while in government or in government arrangements. The Luxon CEO approach, open to so much media derision, has in fact paid dividends, so much so his own party might have bled support, such is the confidence he's been able to foster in a mature and adult arrangement, whereas the election draws closer, it wasn't every man for himself as it has been every other election, ironic. ironically the downside to the success but you know for national but as i said earlier this week the days of major parties well into the 30s is going if not gone you can't have 10 to 12 percent smaller parties and hold 35 plus the numbers simply don't work if the left ever got a solid third player Labour would have the same issue. National won't be enjoying this truth, of course, but if you're an MMP fan, the maturity of what we've seen this past two and a bit years cements the future for potentially stable and adult government. It's the model as to how it should be done.
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