At risk

Broadcasting Standards Authority

regulator · also: Broadcasting Standards Authority, BSA, broadcasting standards active

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Risk score · live

2.5

1/4 stages · 1.00× cadence multiplier

latest detector pass 2026-10-26

All four stages of the detection model fired for Broadcasting Standards Authority in this window: volume, framing, amplification, and mainstreaming. Risk score 22.0 with a 3.0× cadence multiplier. Volume: 62 items in the last 7 days, against a 3.8 prior-4-week-mean baseline (16.5x ratio). Framing: 62 of 77 framed items (81%) used the delegitimising register rather than substantive criticism. Recurring phrases include "abolition of broadcasting standards authority", "broadcasting act reform", and "broadcasting standard authority removal". Amplification: 7 coordinator orgs were active on these topics in the last 14 days. Mainstreaming: 15 mainstream press articles carrying the delegitimising frame in the last 14 days. The stages fired in tight cadence — the speed multiplier is at the upper end of the scale. See methodology for the four-stage model, scoring formula, and the underlying research.
Admit note is preserved from publication (2026-05-09, risk 22.0). The live overlay above does not change the published narrative.

Cascade

The four stages below correspond to phases identified in the literature on coordinated institutional targeting: an initial mention spike (volume signal), delegitimising framing of the institution’s statutory function, infrastructural amplification by aligned actors, and finally mainstreaming — the laundering of the framing into mainstream press cycles. See the methodology page for thresholds and the underlying citations.

Stage 1 Volume signal

Mention rate across discourse, press, audio, and social rises sharply against the institution's own trailing baseline. Indicates increased attention; does not in itself imply coordination.

Stage 2 Delegitimising framing — fired

Items frame the institution as illegitimate or as overreaching its mandate, rather than engaging substantively with specific decisions. The framing classifier distinguishes this register from substantive criticism, defence, and neutral reporting.

11/14 items grievance-framed (79%)

dominant phrases: bsa abolition · bsa cockroach eradication policy · bsa disestablishment legislation · bsa on steroids revival · bsa online surveillance · bsa overreach in media regulation · bsa oversight of digital content · free speech allegations

Stage 3 Infrastructural amplification

Multiple actors flagged as coordinator nodes (advocacy / lobby orgs, partisan media, aligned MPs) active on the institution’s topics in a short window. Coordinator-node status is behavioural and admit-gated.

Stage 4 Mainstreaming

Mainstream news coverage carrying the delegitimising frame within days of stage 3. Captures the “oxygen of amplification” effect: when the framing crosses from partisan to general-audience outlets.

Topics carrying this institution

Topic	Press	Discourse	Social	Total (90d)
bsa abolition timeline	6	16	42	67
abolition of broadcasting standards authority	20	12	15	49
bsa scrapping impact	4	13	11	31
bsa abolition	1	4	10	15
bsa legislative reform	5	5	3	13
bsa waste of public funds	0	0	8	8
bsa jurisdiction over online content	1	3	4	8
broadcasting standards authority abolition	3	1	4	8
bsa effectiveness	0	2	5	7
bsa discrimination ruling	1	0	5	6
constitutional legitimacy of broadcasting standards	3	0	2	5
bsa free speech claims	0	1	4	5
bsa platform moderation	2	1	2	5
bsa leadership incompetence	0	0	4	4
bsa policy	0	0	3	3
bsa legislation delivery	0	2	0	3
bsa bad faith action	0	0	3	3
bsa institutional ineffectiveness	0	2	1	3
bsa surveillance	0	0	2	2
bsa political relevance	0	0	2	2
bsa staff redundancy	0	0	2	2
bsa plunket complaints	0	1	1	2
bsa funding	0	0	2	2
bsa mumbo jumbo	0	0	2	2
bsa precedent	0	0	2	2
bsa misinformation	0	0	2	2
bsa uniform controversy	0	1	1	2
te reo māori broadcasting standards	0	1	1	2
bsa complaint outcome	0	0	2	2
bsa internet coverage	0	0	2	2
bsa jurisdictional overreach	0	0	1	1
bsa reporting standards	0	0	1	1
bsa public display	0	0	1	1
bsa cockroach eradication policy	0	0	1	1
bsa revival	0	0	1	1
bsa political corruption	0	0	1	1
bsa comedy policy	0	0	1	1
bsa septic complaint	0	0	1	1
bsa dissenting opinion	1	0	0	1
bsa media trust	0	0	1	1
bsa platform bias	0	0	1	1
bsa board accountability	0	0	1	1
bsa ruling on media ethics	0	0	1	1
bsa meetings	0	0	1	1
bsa platform broadcast decision	0	0	1	1
bsa grant podge robertson	0	0	1	1
bsa findings on decency and privacy breaches	1	0	0	1
bsa calling out plonker	0	0	1	1
bsa inaction on climate	0	0	1	1
bsa knife delivery	0	0	1	1
bsa legal fees audit	0	0	1	1
bsa organisational hypocrisy	0	0	1	1
broadcasting standards and pacific representation	0	1	0	1
bsa government dismissal	0	0	1	1
bsa to media council migration	0	0	1	1
bsa threat to sean	0	0	1	1
bsa leadership effectiveness	0	0	1	1
bsa platform collapse	0	0	1	1
broadcasting standards breach	0	0	1	1
bsa censure power	0	0	1	1
broadcasting standards authority's tikanga critique	0	1	0	1
bsa interim role	0	1	0	1
bsa mission creep	0	0	1	1
bsa leadership transition	0	1	0	1
bsa independence audit	0	0	0	0
bsa retention	0	0	0	0
public trust in bsa	0	0	0	0
bsa arrogance	0	0	0	0
bsa tax practices	0	0	0	0
bsa departure benefits	0	0	0	0
bsa ultra vires	0	0	0	0
bsa institutional legacy	0	0	0	0
bsa existential challenge	0	0	0	0
bsa kill switch	0	0	0	0
bsa background explanation	0	0	0	0
bsa media control	0	0	0	0
director conflicts in bsa	0	0	0	0
bsa cultural practices	0	0	0	0
bsa awareness among gen z	0	0	0	0
bsa coalition governance	0	0	0	0
bsa powers expansion	0	0	0	0
bsa sympathy	0	0	0	0
bsa complaint against barry sopera	0	0	0	0
bsa ideological shift	0	0	0	0
bsa editorial discretion	0	0	0	0
bsa irony	0	0	0	0
bsa backfire	0	0	0	0
bsa suppression	0	0	0	0
bsa transparency	0	0	0	0
bsa executive salaries	0	0	0	0
bsa sanctions relevance	0	0	0	0
bsa platform integrity	0	0	0	0
bsa judicial enquiry	0	0	0	0

Detection methodology, stage thresholds, and the political-agnosticism statement are documented at /methodology. Detections don't auto-publish — they pass through an admit gate (human confirm + a written note) before appearing here, and rejections are logged with a reason.

Admit notes on this institution: Validation seed for the at-risk BSA replay test (per the May 2026 article).